Boost For Government Bonds?

April 5, 2018

Falling supply will create boost for government bonds

Following the spring financial statement, British government bonds are set to enjoy a boost with the news that supply will be falling to the lowest levels in more than 10 years.

UK Gilts To Outperform US

The bonds, which are issued by the Debt Management Office to fund public infrastructure works and large-scale spending, will see issue targets slashed for 2018-19, to the tune of £16.9bn, according to a panel of policy experts.

The supply reduction means that in the short-term, even in a climate of rising global yields due to a better global economic outlook, gilts are likely to outperform both US and German debt.

The markets view the spring statement as being less of an event than in previous years as the big UK finance announcements are now communicated in the autumn budget. However, investors will welcome the news about the government’s plans for public borrowing in the fiscal year ahead. Ten-year gilt yields have dropped by c.20 basis points since the 1.69 two-year high reached a month ago.

Different analysts responded to the news in varied ways. NatWest Markets said that they expected to see a degree of gilt outperformance in the near-term, but with a fade opportunity in the face of a further BoE interest rate hikes in May. They also expect to see further tightening of interest rates later in the year.

Santander noted that public finance data had exceeded market expectations in the last few months. The bank expected to see flattening unwinding next year and supply jumping again rapidly as Brexit officially occurs.

IA Data Shows Bond Sales Strong In January

Figures from the Investment Association (IA), show that bonds were the biggest selling category for eight months in a row in January, with net receipts of £1.6bn. The biggest-selling sector was in sterling strategic bonds, which attracted £808m of investment during January.

The strong performance of fixed income products could seem counterintuitive with anticipated BoE interest rate rises later this year, but these funds invest on a global scale and hedge their exposure to currencies. This means that they do not necessarily incur the full risk of UK interest rate changes.


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    Kucoin is a crypto exchange that offers trading on 1000+ tokens as well as leveraged trading opportunities via futures and perpetual swaps. This exchange has a slick trading platform that supports robots, allowing traders to implement automated strategies. Other attractive features include a demo account, flexible funding methods and DeFi features like staking and mining.

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    Libertex is a well-known broker, established in 2012. The regulated brand has served numerous clients and is regulated by the Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission with license number 164/12. Libertex offers CFD trading on 250+ underlying assets, including through an innovative and user-friendly proprietary web trader platform. Choose between CFDs on forex, cryptocurrencies, commodities, stocks, indices and ETFs, which are available with tight spreads and low commissions.

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    Admirals is an FCA- and ASIC-regulated broker with an excellent range of leveraged instruments, including forex, stocks, indices, ETFs, commodities, cryptos and more. The broker supports the MetaTrader 4, MetaTrader 5 and TradingCentral platforms. With both spread betting and CFDs available and thousands of instruments, this broker provides more flexibility than most rivals.

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    TMGM is an ASIC-regulated forex and CFD broker with a vast range of tradeable assets covering forex, stock, index, crypto and commodity markets. The account types on offer provide a flexible choice between no commission or zero spreads, with competitive pricing all-round.

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    Pionex is a crypto trading platform that specializes in trading robots, offering a variety of ready made bots and strategies to traders as well as integrated AI to help customize a strategy or come up with your own. These can be used on spot crypto markets as well as crypto futures.

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    Infinox is a UK-based and FCA-regulated broker that offers diverse trading products thanks to its STP and ECN account types and support for MetaTrader 4, MetaTrader 5 and a proprietary platform. Clients can also benefit from a free VPS that can support automated strategies and a social trading platform, catering to both beginner and seasoned traders.

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    Baxia Markets is an offshore CFD broker that offers trading on forex, commodities and indices with tight spreads on a straight-through processing model with ultra-low latency. Trade on MetaTrader 4 or MetaTrader 5 with leverage up to 1:500 and no restrictions to scalping or hedging strategies. Users also benefit from third-party copy trading services.

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    Revolut is a popular financial app that also offers trading on stocks, metals and digital currencies. The brand has over 25 million users worldwide with a choice of accounts, tools and services to suit different needs and budgets, including online investing and currency exchange.

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    OspreyFX is an ECN broker headquartered in St. Vincent and the Grenadines. Established in 2019, the firm offers 120+ forex and CFD assets with high leverage up to 1:500, tight spreads from 0.1 pips and round-the-clock customer support. OspreyFX also stands out for its funded trading accounts where traders can keep up to 70% of profits.

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    LonghornFX is a forex and CFD broker offering over 150 instruments with leverage up to 1:500. The firm is registered in Saint Vincent and the Grenadines and was launched in 2020. Clients can access a strong selection of cryptos, alongside forex, indices, commodities and stocks. With ECN/STP processing, this offshore broker promises tight spreads and fast execution.

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    RoboMarkets is a Cyprus-based forex, CFD and stock broker aimed at traders from Europe. The broker offers thousands of instruments across six asset classes and provides access to four leading platforms, including MetaTrader 4. With ECN pricing, Cent accounts and algorithmic trading tools, RoboMarkets caters to a range of trading strategies and investing styles.

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    AdroFx is an offshore ECN/STP broker that has offered CFD trading since 2018. The firm supports 100+ tradable assets on the popular MetaTrader 4 platform as well as a web trader, Allpips. Eight live accounts are available with no restrictions on trading strategies.